Does the 21st Century Belong to China?: The Munk Debate on China (The Munk Debates)

Does the 21st Century Belong to China?: The Munk Debate on China (The Munk Debates)

Henry Kissinger

Language: English

Pages: 112

ISBN: 1770890629

Format: PDF / Kindle (mobi) / ePub


Is China’s rise unstoppable? Powered by the human capital of 1.3 billion citizens, the latest technological advances, and a comparatively efficient system of state-directed capitalism, China seems poised to become the global superpower this century. But the Middle Kingdom also faces a series of challenges. From energy scarcity to environmental degradation to political unrest and growing global security burdens, a host of factors could derail China’s global ascent.
In this edition of The Munk Debates — Canada’s premier international debate series — former U.S. Secretary of State Henry Kissinger and CNN’s Fareed Zakaria square off against leading historian Niall Ferguson and world-renowned Chinese economist David Daokui Li to debate the biggest geopolitical issue of our time: Does the 21st century belong to China?
Highly electrifying and thoroughly engrossing, the Munk Debate on China is the first formal public debate Dr. Kissinger has participated in on China’s future, and this volume includes exclusive interviews with Kissinger and Li.

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leadership of the Aurea Foundation. Founded in 2006 by Peter and Melanie Munk, the Aurea Foundation supports Canadian individuals and institutions involved in the study and development of public policy. The debates are the foundation’s signature initiative; a model for the kind of substantive public policy conversation Canadians can foster globally. Since their creation in 2008, the foundation has underwritten the entire cost of each semi-annual debate. The debates have also benefited from the

input and advice of members of the advisory board, including Mark Cameron, Andrew Coyne, Devon Cross, Allan Gotlieb, George Jonas, Margaret MacMillan, Anthony Munk, and Janice Stein. Since their inception the Munk Debates have sought to take the discussions that happen at each event to national and international audiences. Here the debates have bene­fited immeasurably from a partnership with Canada’s national newspaper the Globe and Mail and the counsel of its editor-in-chief John

sushi — well, I guess we are all eating sushi — but the rest of that prediction didn’t quite work out. If you think about it, most Asian tigers have grown at a rate of about 9 percent a year for twenty to twenty-five years. And then they shift downward to a rate of 6 or 5 percent. I’m not predicting any kind of Chinese crash. I am simply saying that China will follow that law of large numbers initially and then regress at some point to a slow growth rate, perhaps a little bit later than

17 at Roy Thomson Hall. The topic was China. We in the West have traditionally focused on the Near East, and understandably so, but the last two decades compelled us to increasingly turn our attention to the Far East. China has seemingly come out of nowhere to play an important economic and political role around the world. It wasn’t out of nowhere, of course. China’s growth started with the country’s shift to the market economy in 1978. Even taking this shift into account, an average growth of 10

there is one difference. In today’s China, we have been sending a huge number of young kids to study abroad. How many? Imagine six times the size of the student population at the University of Toronto, that’s the number of Chinese students studying in the United States and in Canada. These are sources of change. These kids are learning. So I do think China’s emergence will be different from that of the United States, and I also think it will not face the same problems as Japan faced. RUDYARD

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